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Thinking ahead - the future

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I hope you don't think I'm attacking you, that's not the case. A good debate can set people off on a new line of thought that leads to something interesting.

I assure you after putting my money where my mouth is for the last 6 years I'm not deluded.

I'd normally let this pass, but since my last post was very long I think some people might get the wrong idea. I'm not questioning your past or your business acumen; I attached the deluded comment to a very specific comment (you would be deluded if you thought that all exact match .co.uk domains should be top of UK searches), I doubt you actually think that hence I'm not saying you are deluded.

If we are talking about the benefits of exacts and you think there isn't likely to be any in 5 years time or it will be reduced then you believe it and act accordingly.

I actually do think there are benefits to owning a good exact match bit I'm absolutely convinced the "domain only" benefit will be lower in 5 years than it is now. There are SEO benefits that are likely to remain (and even cross over from an old site to a new one on the same domain).

If we take HGV as an example, there are many links out there that link as HGV - it's much easier to get phrase-specific links if your website is called that phrase; that's not likely to go away (the value of links always changes but good quality links will always count in some way). A good exact match (I suppose I'm entering "generic" territory here) also brings a sense of authority, that's a huge benefit too.

It should be noted that less benefit is enjoyed the "poorer" the search phrase becomes. "Mobile Car Valeting Edinburgh" may be good for that phrase, but it's not going to turn heads and get links in the same way that HGV will.

I spent 10k in the last 4 months on exact matching domains so I guess we will both agree to disagree.

If you spent the money on others like the one being discussed I'd say you'll do very well. Remember that a lot of my stuff was aimed at cautioning against spending lots on reg fees and letting things sit. A domain that's worth investing in now is not likely to lose value quickly, it's a depressed market.

I suppose the message is to buy quality rather than quantity, and if new regs are your thing then consider developing them (let's face it, if you don't think you can make the reg fee, hosting and content costs back yourself the name is pants).

After watching generic exact match names rise and rise in the last 5 years (that includes 3 words).

Yes, I agree that quality increases, but I'd guess that the number of really good 3+ word "generic exact matches" that are free to reg is really low. I can absolutely see the way in which some 3+ word domains could be very valuable but I've done a lot of research into UK keywords and I have to say that there are limited numbers of excellent phrases (regardless of length) that exist for any vertical. If you have good names that's great, but people buying now (unless in a new product or service area) are going to have a pretty poor set of domains to choose from (because of the good job already done by investors).

As a test I did research on Photography phrases (as in weddings, portraits, commercial stuff and aerial) earlier and found 84 that were useful as exact matches (500+ exact local searches, and they included the obvious ones).

I chose photography as I'm aware of the propensity of those businesses to have websites and the fact there are some large regional or national companies/networks. I understand this is a service and has very different dynamics to a product domain, but I think it's valid (and hopefully useful).

  • Every non-hyphenated one was registered.
  • 25 were for sale (or were parked with ads)
  • 1 was a directory
  • 2 were magazines
  • 2 had sites that are off topic
  • 2 were trade associations
  • 21 were photographers' websites
  • 28 had nothing at all (42,130 exact searches per month total)

This tells us that people are not taking advantage of their domains.

Additionally, I know there are thousands of photographers in the UK that have websites (I know because we are about to launch a directory and we have been collecting data for a long time) - so out of over 3000 businesses/sole traders there are only 21 who either bought one of the domains straight up or off a domain investor. This suggests to me a lack of interest from photographers or people being priced out of the aftermarket.

If you'd like to register one of the 3 FTR hyphenated domains then they are here:

wedding-photographer-prices.co.uk
professional-portrait-photographers.co.uk
wedding-and-portrait-photographers.co.uk

By the way, congratulations to Frog on getting to the top of Payday-Loans.co.uk for the term Payday Loans. That is one hell of an achievement in one of the most competitive sectors out there.

Agreed, it is a great achievement - a shed load of links seems to have helped.
 
I think part of the problem is calling it an exact match "bonus" when it would be more accurate to say that having the exact match domain is one of the many hundreds of factors Google uses to determine relative rankings in the SERPS. Google adjusts the balance between these factors all the time, tweaking and tweaking to try and improve the "perceived quality" of the search results. So they may dial the exact match domain factor up a bit or down a bit, but "bonus" sounds too much like something that they've gone out of their way to add and therefore could go out of their way to remove again.

Bottom line, if you have the exact match (i.e. .co.uk, no hyphen) to a commercially valuable, highly searched keyphrase that is descriptive of a specific product or service, then that is a "signal of quality" that Google will want to factor into its algorithm because whether you are making good use of the value or not, the fact is that the underlying domain name has real value, and therefore owning it sends a "message" that the site is serious about its online presence.

Going back to the example from earlier in this thread, weddingphotographers.co.uk, it would make no sense at all for Google to eliminate all ranking value that comes from owning the name. The fact that a site has been built on a foundation worth thousands or tens of thousands of pounds speaks volumes about the "quality" of the site so it's not a signal that Google will ignore.

NOTE: I keep putting "quality" in inverted commas, because the domain name is only a piece of the site puzzle. So if you build a lousy site on a great name, the overall effect may not be one of visible "quality". But that doesn't take away from the fact that it's built on very solid, sturdy foundations (exact match domain) and therefore all other things being equal it should do better than a very similar lousy site on a random domain.
 
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Something else to consider for the future.......

Other extensions... popularity of some of the less 'loved' extensions may pick up as demand rises...

Also.... I'm sure the Google keyword tool is spot on right now, but as time goes by the popularity of words / markets changes e.g. the rise of 'gold' and 'personal injury' over the last few years....
 
Something else to consider for the future.......

Other extensions... popularity of some of the less 'loved' extensions may pick up as demand rises...

Also.... I'm sure the Google keyword tool is spot on right now, but as time goes by the popularity of words / markets changes e.g. the rise of 'gold' and 'personal injury' over the last few years....

Interesting discussion: I am heavily invested in exact keyword domains for the medical network I am setting up, here in the Netherlands. If having an exact keyword match domain becomes redundant / irrelevant to Google in the future, I'm screwed! Hope that doesn't happen.
@Edwin, so you think Google is going to weight the "quality" of sites based on the implicit value of the domain name? This seems like tricky business, since using exact keyword searches too determine the value of a domain is quite limited.
 
Also, Latona is talking about .com, which is about 10 x bigger than .co.uk, so obviously for that much larger market, there are many 3 word combos with worth while numbers, that are not worth while for only the UK market...
 
No, I'm saying that owning a valuable domain name is one of many "signals of quality" Google may be (and, by rights, should be) using to determine ranking.

If I own weddingphotographers.co.uk and somebody else owns bobsweddingpics.co.uk then Day 1 Hour 1 my site is more "credible" than theirs, assuming everything else is equal, because I've built it on a premium piece of land in the commercial district (which costs real money and/or the opportunity cost of not selling it to somebody else for real money), and they've built it out in the wasteland.

If Bob then makes a fabulous site out of bobsweddingpics.co.uk, does some great promotion, and gets loads of repeat customers who can be tracked back to his site again and again, and I slap a 3 page site on weddingphotographers.co.uk, do no promotion and just sit back, then of course OVER TIME his site should do better than mine. But it will be DESPITE the domain name, not BECAUSE of it.
 
Interesting discussion: I am heavily invested in exact keyword domains for the medical network I am setting up, here in the Netherlands. If having an exact keyword match domain becomes redundant / irrelevant to Google in the future, I'm screwed! Hope that doesn't happen.

you're not because even if google stopped giving weight to keywords in serps, the authority and memorability a quality keyword domain gives you to the public and consumer is priceless

also when people have exit plans and sell on websites and domains
quality is always going to sell for the most money
people don't like buying tat when spending decent sums of wonga

ever wondered why craigslist.org has never sold out? even though makes more money than a lot of the other big names on the block and gets shedloads of traffic?
its just not sexy. in fact i was really struggling to remember the name for the example!

to add to what Edwin said.
imho it doesn't matter how nice you make the flat on the 20th storey of a council block
people will come round to see you, sure
they may get the wrong flat from time to time as the address is hard to find

it may be decorated by your talented interior designer girlfriend but when it comes to sell it's still on the 20th storey of a tower block on the outskirts of town
(btw I'm not a snob, I'm working class, just a realist ;))

there were a multitude of reasons people took the low hanging fruit first
they still stand today

the fruit's gone. it drop's sometimes. occassionally you can find a juicy piece hidden behind some foliage near the top :)
 
ever wondered why craigslist.org has never sold out? even though makes more money than a lot of the other big names on the block and gets shedloads of traffic?
its just not sexy. in fact i was really struggling to remember the name for the example!

Not everyone is in it to sell out though. Don't forget that Craigslist is a household name in the US.
 
@ Edwin I understand what you mean and agree, but what I was asking was more along the lines of: "how will Google determine what the value of a domain is?" Obviously they can use search stats to determine the value to a degree, but my point was - determining the value is tricky! Just look at the crazy (and divergent) values that SEDO and Estibot come up with with their automated appraisals. So my questions are: a) what variables will Google use to determine DN quality and b) how big of a factor will DN quality be compared to the other quality indicators they take into account?

@Pred The thing is, most of my keyword domains are not intended for sale and many are not that pretty either! It's stuff like (the Dutch version of) bloatedstomache.nl - keywords with a couple k exact search matches, that are only attractive to a small niche (which I am in).

Another question I have, is whether Google is going to make different modifications for each local market. At the moment, google.nl gives huge preference to exact match .nl domains. As long as this stays similar, I am less concerned about the way domains rank when you search using google.com
 
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