Board Election Result Analysis

[super-whois]

After some computation of publicly available information contained within the results published by Popularis, some interesting information can be revealed.

First of all there were 5 ballots declared Spoilt. It can be revealed that these spoilt ballots consisted of a total voting rights of 9300.

It should be questioned whether the spoilt ballots should contribute to both the cap and quota, as these ballots have been effectively ignored, without a reason stating why they were declared void, which would be available for inspection for UK public elections and polls.

Only 10 of the top 17 voted (those who's voting rights exceed the cap):

Company                 Voting Right Country of Ownership First Preference
Webfusion Ltd           2434146      UK                   Dickie
1 & 1 Internet AG   1994192      DE                   Dickie
GoDaddy.com, LLP.       413367       US                   Nora
Namesco Limited         281291       IT                   Dickie
NetBenefit UK Ltd       232729       CA                   Dickie
Iomart Hosting Ltd      213992       UK                   Dickie
LCN.com Ltd             209239       UK                   Dickie
Daily Internet Services 120930       UK                   Dickie
Key-Systems GmbH        97886        DE                   Dickie
Fibranet Services Ltd   57611        IM                   Dickie

As you can see, only one of the top 17 voted for Nora as first preference.

No possible combination that could have resulted in 5,855,114 of Mr Armour’s pre-capped votes being transferred to Ms Nanayakkara has so far been found.

If the top 17 had not voted, then the result would be as follows (with a lower quota of 438606):

                First Round   Distribution   Second Round 
Dickie            501811    E   -63205         438606       
Nora              220217         59521.1       279738.1     Eliminated
Lucien            302763          1790.94      304553.94    
Graeme            291026          1477.82      292503.82    
Non transferable                   415.14         415.14       
Total            1315817             0        1315817

Of course, no information beyond the second round is not known.

R. Papoulis

 

[Stephen]

the rest?

Thanks very much for the effort and posting it.

What does this mean if you strip out those votes of the top 17, can you tell what the result of the vote would have been then please?

 

[Edwin]

What does this mean if you strip out those votes of the top 17, can you tell what the result of the vote would have been then please?

It's kind of the OP to compute all this detail, but working out what the results would have been without any of the top 17 registrars is like saying "hey, the Republicans would have won the US election - if you discount California and Florida" - it's just not a realistic real-world scenario, and therefore has no meaning.

 

[super-whois]

If the top 17 did not vote then either Lucien or Graeme would have won the second seat. Which of the two would depend on the second and third preferences of the votes cast for the other two.

GoDaddy stated that they would not vote or get involved in UK politics. Evidence suggest that for some reason they did. If GoDaddy did not vote, then Nora would not have reached the quota at the second round.

It goes to show that a handful of members are in control of Nominet, which prevents any other member from holding Nominet to account.

Lastly it should be noted that due to weighed voting rights, then there is no secret ballot. Although computationally difficult due to a large number of members, the flaw is known as the Subset Sum Problem.

A significant discrepancy remains in the second preference votes that had Dickie as first preference.