My analysis is that the government initially favoured 'herd immunity' rather than lock down, but when confronted with best scientific advice that this could lead to hundreds of thousands of additional deaths, they bottled out.
Point 1. That delay before opting for lock down may have caused significant extra deaths. Countries that locked down quickly, and accompanied it with deep-contact testing of those associated with known virus holders, are likely to have significantly fewer deaths in the end. (Time will tell.)
Point 2. Failure to act quickly also led to the UK 'missing the bus' for enough tests at the time they were going to be most useful.
Point 3. There was longer-term government failure to prepare adequately for pandemic in terms of vital supplies. The possibility of a pandemic was a known risk.
Point 4. The death toll this afternoon is likely to rise above 12,000 and as these numbers have a lag running up to 2 weeks behind actual mortality, it is quite possible that mortality figures will remain around 800-1000 for the next 10 days at least (if not higher). The fact they don't go higher will be because of adherence to lock down. I suspect the mortality toll in hospitals alone will be over 25,000 by the end of April.
Point 5. It's beyond clear and evident that very large number of additional deaths are occurring now, compared to past years. The expert opinion of those trained in healthcare, and actually witnessing what's happening on the front-line, is (applying all their years of experience) that this is an exceptional crisis, and one that is being caused by the spread of the virus.
Point 6. This is not part of a plan for a 'one world government'. It is a human tragedy unfolding across the world. It is best addressed by practical healthcare and distancing, and by a clear-headed recognition of the very real danger of this virus.
Point 7. I am desperately concerned about the potential impact this virus may yet have on poor and developing nations with insufficient resources, and what that may mean in terms of human suffering, death from the virus, food supply issues, and grassroots disorder arising out of desperation.
Listen to the maximum number of experts, and the probably 95% viewpoint of trained healthcare professionals, that this worldwide phenomenon and virus is causing so many deaths. It is so incredibly frustrating, when decent people are risking or sacrificing their lives for the sake of others, to read views of people who are chasing and advocating theories that imply this virus isn't killing people on the scale it is.
