Another bubble on way..

[julian]

in 2000 we had the .com bubble I wonder if a web 2.0/social media bubble is on the way. Combined with the 'diy' TLD fad bubble, Google slapping, a recession, world poverty and wars.

Something new could be imminent..

 

[Edwin]

Certainly the world has FAR too many social media sites. You could shut thousands of them and nobody would really notice or care. I think some of the "concepts" behind social are bubble-proof, eg easy sharing and annotation of all manner of info.

 

[Blossom]

I think so. Groupon for one definitely has its days numbered, Facebook is not being monetised well enough at all and the mobile thing could potentially be a huge mistake. Google+ might be trashed at some point depending on what happens to Facebook (I'll be extremely surprised if it's not reinvented in another form at some point), but that will be a minor casualty compared to the others.

Pinterest is one to watch but it's not stable enough yet, and I think they'll be approached by someone wanting to buy them, possibly Microsoft (would probably have suggested Yahoo but I doubt they can afford to). It has a hell of a lot of untapped potential though.

 

[julian]

I forgot to mention Price Comparison in my list of slow deaths? You can see all the ads beginnign to slow down. I think it looks like Confused/com is going to be long term the winner in all this - its just a bit edgyier for the youngsters - and easier to remember than your gocomparedZeemaRket - Edwin.. who say brandables are worthless..

 

[accelerator]

I for one hope that price comparison has a future.

What's with all the doom mongering?

 

[Bailey]

What's with all the doom mongering?

Sometimes it's out there due to the occasional inability to understand market dynamics. You can't take something as fresh and evolving as the internet and talk about "Historical measures" - Some fleeting gains were never set for the long run anyway.

The intenet is a spread bet - And in that I include areas that some wouldn't even see as on their neighbours radar let alone their own

The percentages are still there to be had. And to many (myself included) it keeps our interest alive

 

[Bailey]

Facebook is not being monetised well enough at all and the mobile thing could potentially be a huge mistake.

A right and a wrong hence a blue not green quote.

Mobile access and usage is the future, Dosen't matter if your sitting at home next to the hub that feeds your laptop or desktop. Consistancy in access, history and usage without any requirement for user cohesion.

Of course the static desktop and indeed laptop has it's place but that will take it back to the 70's and 80's. Word processing etc.

I don't know the pecentages . But, it isn't hard to guess that 97% of all internet usage is "output" yep with that loney 3% being input and even then thats being generous

 

[retired_member33]

This guy tells you how to make a big bubble:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9ASVgO9U6k

 

[julian]

Sometimes it's out there due to the occasional inability to understand market dynamics. You can't take something as fresh and evolving as the internet and talk about "Historical measures"

why not? I guess you've found some future proof holy grail that everyone else has overlooked - can you enlighten us DOOM MONGERERS so we can save ourselves

 

[binny]

We've got to be in the middle of that bubble now surely? Social media has to be here to stay but if we imagine the social media sites as vehicles then Facebook is a 1,000,000,000 seater bus with no steering, the driver just won the lottery and when it does finally slow down there is a pack of salesmen and street traders waiting to get on. When the Facebook bubble implodes then it's fair to say the bubble will have burst.

 

[Blossom]

Mobile access and usage is the future, Dosen't matter if your sitting at home next to the hub that feeds your laptop or desktop. Consistancy in access, history and usage without any requirement for user cohesion.

I think mobile is overrated but it will do well enough.

In my original comment I was referring to the rumour that Facebook is developing a phone. If they do it with a well-known brand it might work out ok for them. If not, it could be a very expensive mistake for a company that's (proportionally) not making so much.

 

[websaway]

in 2000 we had the .com bubble I wonder if a web 2.0/social media bubble is on the way. Combined with the 'diy' TLD fad bubble, Google slapping, a recession, world poverty and wars.

Something new could be imminent..

There has always been world poverty, there has always been wars, there has always been recessions, there has even always been bubbles, some burst, some deflate slowly.
There has never been so many consumers of goods and services.

 

[retired_member33]

She also knows how to make big bubbles

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GsCJgmdiWs4

 

[Bailey]

why not? I guess you've found some future proof holy grail that everyone else has overlooked - can you enlighten us DOOM MONGERERS so we can save ourselves

Trust you Julian to dig deeper than the top-soil,

I personally find it difficult to deal with those that see (and are effected by) internet change and development as some sort of 'personal slur' on their personal projects,

There was a great post here on Acorn (Not many moons ago) about the difficulty in "actual Subject" search. The web should not be about the developers agenda - which shamefully has taken precedence (and googles pages 1 to ......) in the last couple of years.

Equally future use isn't going to be driven by anyones current thinking about perfecting the current model. (as much as they wish)

I talk about spread betting as a reference to 'envisaging' and i'm not ashamed to say has served my right ( Well at least I'm not guily of maximising page rank - to the detriment of half decent information)

Holy-grail ?? - I'll let you know when I find it