Nominet state in the Q&A: If we use their figure of 10,560,000, then 10,137,600 domain registrants have already qualified for .uk outright (the determination was made on 28 October 2013). A further 422,400 registrants will be in contention. Since contention requires a minimum of 2 conflicting domains, that means that an absolute maximum of 211,200 domain registrants out of 10,560,000 (2%) won't get a .uk. However, A) Nominet said "over 96%" and "fewer than 4%" so the real picture will be better than that B) Some contention sets will have 3+ conflicting domains, so the real picture will be better than that Worth noting that all the discussions we've had surrounding "oldest first", ".co.uk first" etc. relate to those 211,200 or fewer domains.