olebean said:
Will the domain industry be here in say 20 years?
Imagine this scenario, a company developes a new browser but not just another browser, this one includes a new operating system, a dynamic firewall, spamwall and anti-virus engine that never needs def updates, never crashes and can replace Windows, Linux and all other OS's in one stroke, and it's free.
This browser is so popular that within two years it is the de-facto OS on 99% of the worlds computers.
The company now setup hundred's of servers around the world and this becomes a new internet (Internet2). They then design a new means to search the internet2 not by domain names but by keywords, for example:
Every website, server, mobile phone, fridge, car, vibrator or any other device that accesses the internet will have an IP address, you will then register that IP address with the internet2 and you can choose a number of keywords that relates exactly to that IP address.
So when a user puts in a keyword or any combination of keywords in the browsers
keyword bar (old term used to be called
url bar in the dark old days of domain names), the closest matches will be shown, i.e. if the user was to input the keywords "domain name, forum, uk" then hopefully Acorndomains will then be in the results, except it won't be "http://www.acorndomains.co.uk/index.php" it will be something like "98.99.100.101/index.php" instead.
And as the browser is standard on every computer people will get used to inputting keywords instead domain names and so a point will be reached where the old internet and domain names are rarely used.
Of course what this means is that domain names will become obsolete and the already established search engines (google, yahoo, msn) will go bankrupt, however one company will then own the Internet which could then present some problems.
As for your question will domains be around in 20 years time, my own view is that they won't be, because with new emerging technology and the fact that every country doesn't want the US to have sole control of the internet means that a rival internet will be created at some point and with the ability to navigate without the use of domain names.
In terms of the history of the internet, it will be seen that domain names were only in use for about 30 years (1985 - 2015), BTW
symbolics.com was the first ever domain name registered on 15-Mar-1985.